文章摘要
中国对外直接投资发展现状的实证分析
An Empirical Analysis of Development Status of China’s Outward Direct Investment
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 对外直接投资  发展现状  阶段检验  发展趋势
英文关键词: Outward Direct Investment  development status  stage testing  development trend
基金项目:广东省政府高层次人才引进专项基金课题的资助;广东省2007年哲学社会科学“十一五”规划课题的资助,项目批准号(07E05)
摘要点击次数: 992
全文下载次数: 2
中文摘要:
      中国对外直接投资近年来发展极为迅速,这与中国经济的发展水平密切相关,也呈现出阶段性的特征。本文就关于中国对外直接投资的发展状况和阶段检验两方面进行实证分析。首先,本文选取了中国1982-2009年间对外直接投资及其相关数据,进行统计分析和对比分析,并运用对外投资绩效(OND)指数,对中国的对外直接投资发展状况进行实证分析。研究结果表明中国对外直接投资还处于比较低的发展水平。其次,本文选取1982-2009年间中国对外直接投资总体数据,以及2003-2009年间各省区对外直接投资面板数据,运用直接投资发展阶段理论(IDP理论),就中国以及中国不同地区海外投资发展阶段进行实证检验,得出中国净对外直接投资发展已经处于第三阶段以及中国东部地区已经越过第三阶段进入到第四阶段早期的结论;并表明中国对外直接投资将在一个较长的时期内处于高速发展的趋势。
英文摘要:
      In recent years,China’s Outward Direct Investment(ODI),closely related to the level of China’s economic development,grows rapidly and presents the characteristics of stages.This paper makes an empirical analysis of the status and stage of China’s ODI.First,using Chinese aggregate ODI data from 1982 to 2009 and other related data,including FDI,export and GDP,this paper applies statistical analysis,comparative analysis,and OND index to study the status of China’s ODI.The results show that China’s ODI is still at a relatively low level.Secondly,by applying the aggregate data from 1982 to 2009,and provincial panel data from 2003 to 2009,this paper carries out the empirical test,according to IDP theory,and finds out at what development stage China’s ODI is.It turns out that China’s development of the net direct investment has been in its third phase,and Eastern part of China has crossed over the third stage and come to the early fourth stage.The paper comes to conclusion that China’s ODI will be in the rapid development trend in a long period of next coming years.
查看全文   查看/发表评论  下载PDF阅读器
关闭