文章摘要
广东省区域金融发展差异与经济增长关系的实证研究
Empirical Analysis of Relationship between Regional Financial Disparities and Economic Growth in Guangdong Province
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 区域金融  经济增长  面板协整  广东省
英文关键词: regional finance  economic growth  Panel Cointegration  Guangdong Province
基金项目:国家社科规划课题(11CGL051)
作者单位
谢 鹏 中国政法大学 政治与公共管理学院,北京 100088 
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中文摘要:
      据PMG估计量分析,广东区域金融发展差异与经济增长的关系是:从长期效应关系看,广东4大经济区域的金融差异对经济增长都有负效应,但在不同区域影响的效应并不相同,山区经济区对区域金融差异的变化反应最为敏感,珠三角地区并不是最大的。值得关注的是东翼地区的金融发展差异对人均GDP增速的影响在不断增加。从短期效应看,珠三角经济区人均GDP的短期变化不受短期区域金融差异的影响,但东西两翼及山区,区域金融差异的变化对这3个地方的人均GDP变化有显著的负效应。在珠三角和山区5市短期抑制效应具有统计上的显著性,说明在这两个区域金融业的作用对经济增长的作用更为重要。
英文摘要:
      This paper uses PMG model to analyze relationship between Guangdong disparities of regional financial development and economic growth. In the long-term effect regional financial disparities of four economic region have negative effects on economic growth, but the effect is not the same in different regions, mountain areas have the most sensitive response, and the Pearl River Delta is not the biggest. The most noteworthy is regional financial development disparities of East Wing, which have increasing effect on per capita GDP. In the short term effect, change of per capita GDP in the Pearl River Delta is unaffected by short term regional financial disparities, but have significant negative effects on mountain areas and East Wing Region. Because of short term suppression effect is significant statistically in the Pearl River Delta and mountain areas, which explain that function of financial industry development on economic growth is more important.
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